Cyclonic storm likely by October 26; heavy rain in Coastal Andhra from October 27: IMD

Cyclonic storm likely by October 26; heavy rain in Coastal Andhra from October 27: IMD left A woman crossing a water-logged stretch near the bus stand on Kurnool Road in Ongole on Thursday. Kommuri Srinivas Kommuri Srinivas ANDHRA PRADES ONGOLE, ANDHRA PRADESH, STANDALONE, 22/10/2026: Rainwater mixed with sewage overflowed onto the road near the bus stand on Kurnool Road in Ongole on Thursday, while road-widening works were under way.

The stagnant water concealed potholes, inconveniencing pedestrians and motorists. Photo: KOMMURI SRINIVAS / The Hindu The system is forecast to move towards the north Andhra Pradesh and south Odisha coasts after October 26 VISAKHAPATNAM / ONGOLE A low-pressure area has formed over the east-central and adjoining south-east Bay of Bengal, and it is expected to intensify into a cyclonic storm over the west-central Bay by Monday (October 26, 2026) morning, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said on Friday (October 23, 2026).

The system is then forecast to move towards the north Andhra Pradesh and adjoining south Odisha coasts. In a special message, the IMD’s Cyclone Warning Centre in Visakhapatnam said the low-pressure area formed at around 5.30 a.m. on Friday under the influence of an upper-air cyclonic circulation that was over the south-east and adjoining east-central Bay of Bengal on Thursday. Under the influence of yesterday’s upper-air cyclonic circulation over Southeast and adjoining Eastcentral #Bay_of_Bengal, a low pressure area formed over Eastcentral and adjoining Southeast Bay of Bengal at 0530 hours IST of today, the 23rd October, 2026.

It is most likely to persist over the same region and intensify into a depression on 24th October, 2026. Thereafter, it is very likely to move west-northwestwards and intensify further into a deep #depression on 25th October & into a #cyclonic_storm over the Westcentral Bay of Bengal by 26th October morning. It would then continue to intensify further and move west-northwestwards towards North #Andhra_Pradesh and adjoining South #Odisha coasts during subsequent 2 days.— India Meteorological Department (@Indiametdept) October 23, 2026 The system is most likely to remain over the same region and intensify into a depression on Saturday (October 24), the IMD said.

It is then very likely to move west-northwestwards, intensifying into a deep depression on Sunday (October 25) and a cyclonic storm over the west-central Bay of Bengal by Monday morning. It would continue to intensify and move west-northwestwards towards the north Andhra Pradesh and south Odisha coasts over the following two days, the bulletin said. Andhra Pradesh State Disaster Management Authority (APSDMA) Managing Director Prakhar Jain said on Friday that the State was likely to receive widespread rain under the influence of the system.

He advised the public and farmers to take precautions in advance, and asked fishermen to return to the coast without delay. Heavy rain alert On Thursday, the IMD’s Amaravati centre had said the system may bring heavy to very heavy rain to parts of Coastal Andhra Pradesh from October 27. For October 27 and 28, it issued an ‘alert’ (be prepared) for heavy to very heavy rain at isolated places in Alluri Sitharama Raju (ASR), Kakinada, East Godavari, Dr.

B.R. Ambedkar Konaseema, Eluru, West Godavari and NTR districts, and in Yanam. A ‘watch’ (be updated) for heavy rain at isolated places covers 10 other districts on both days, including Visakhapatnam. Orange alert for Kakinada, Konaseema as thunderstorms forecast; low-pressure area likely over Bay of Bengal Orange alert for Kakinada, Konaseema as thunderstorms forecast; low-pressure area likely over Bay of Bengal The districts covered by the yellow alert are Dr.

B.R. Ambedkar Konaseema, West Godavari, Krishna, Bapatla, Prakasam, Sri Potti Sriramulu Nellore, Chittoor, Tirupati, Annamayya, YSR Kadapa and Sri Sathya Sai Orange alert for Kakinada, Konaseema as thunderstorms forecast; low-pressure area likely over Bay of Bengal storyline 1 P.L.N. Murthy, Head of the IMD’s Cyclone Warning Centre in Visakhapatnam, said on Thursday that if the system continued to intensify and became a cyclonic system, it might cross the coast between Machilipatnam and Visakhapatnam.

He added that in El Niño years, most post-monsoon cyclones in the Bay cross the coast south of 17° N. The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) models, Mr. Murthy said, indicated that very heavy rainfall was likely across northern Andhra Pradesh by October 27. The IMD’s Regional Specialised Meteorological Centre for tropical cyclones, New Delhi, said on Thursday that models differed on the system’s strength: some, including the ECMWF, pointed to a very severe cyclonic storm, while AI-based models showed a cyclonic storm at most.

Rain in Nellore, Prakasam The ECMWF models, Mr. Murthy said, indicated that very heavy rainfall was likely across northern Andhra Pradesh by October 27. For October 27 and 28, the IMD’s Amaravati centre issued an “alert” (be prepared) for heavy to very heavy rain at isolated places in Alluri Sitharama Raju, Kakinada, East Godavari, Dr. B.R. Ambedkar Konaseema, Eluru, West Godavari and NTR districts, and in Yanam.

A “watch” (be updated) for heavy rain at isolated places covers 10 other districts on both days, including Visakhapatnam. Heavy rain lashed Nellore and Prakasam districts on Thursday under the influence of the cyclonic circulation. Low-lying areas in several parts of both districts were waterlogged, and commuters faced traffic jams. In the 24 hours ending 8.30 a.m. on Thursday, Thottambedu in Tirupati district recorded 40.2 mm and Rapur in Nellore district 40 mm, the highest reported.

During the day on Thursday, Nellore recorded 22 mm of rain, Kavali 15 mm and Cuddapah 13 mm, the IMD’s Amaravati centre said. Heavy rain in Tirupati as low pressure area forms off Tamil Nadu coast Heavy rain in Tirupati as low pressure area forms off Tamil Nadu coast Heav…