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Payday to mayday: The hike mirage and why bigger salaries still feel smaller
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Payday to mayday: The hike mirage and why bigger salaries still feel smaller

30 Oct 2026, 01:09 PM 5 min read

Aamdani atthanni, kharcha rupaiya!It is a familiar refrain, and a financial loop the common man spends a lifetime trying to escape.For India's middle class, much of working life revolves around one big aspiration: earning enough to afford not just the essentials, but also the little pleasures and milestones that make the grind worthwhile.A bigger paycheque promises more than a fatter bank balance.

It means the freedom to make that impulsive purchase, finally book that long-awaited holiday, put money into an investment or simply save a little more towards a secure future.Yet, the closer that promise seems, the more elusive it becomes. Because every salary hike brings with it a familiar question: how much of that extra money will actually stay?For many Indian households, annual increments are increasingly being eaten up by rising everyday expenses, leaving little room to feel richer, save more or get ahead financially.Companies are offering average salary hikes of around 9%, yet households are reporting higher spending on essentials, rising financial commitments and declining confidence about the economy.The Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) September 2026 survey found that 90.1% of urban households were spending more on essentials than a year ago.

Meanwhile, 54.5% felt the economic situation had worsened, compared with 40.9% in September 2025.The problem, therefore, is not simply how much people earn, but how much of that income survives after paying for necessities and accounting for inflation.With food prices climbing, fuel costs adding to the burden and household borrowing increasing, a rising pay packet does not necessarily mean a bigger financial cushion.Jyoti Prakash Gadia, managing director of Resurgent India Limited, said that the rising cost of basic necessities was eating into the disposable income generated by salary increases.

Housing, healthcare, education, transport, EMIs and insurance premiums were claiming a larger share of household budgets, limiting the improvement in purchasing power."Although there has been some growth in household income levels, the increasing cost of basic necessities has placed pressure on the disposable income levels," Gadia said.Attractive hikes on paperFor someone working a corporate job, appraisal season often brings a glimmer of hope and, over the past few years, salary hikes have given employees some reason to look forward to it.A recent Aon's salary survey found that companies offered an average hike of 9% in 2026 and expect to increase salaries by 9.1% in 2027.Deloitte's survey of India Inc.

also projected an average increment of around 9.1%.At first glance, that sounds like exactly what every 9-to-5 employee waits and works for. But by the time those numbers translate into actual money in the bank, the excitement can begin to fade.(function{function e{window.addEventListener(`message`,function(e){if(e.data[`datawrapper-height`]!==void 0){var t=document.querySelectorAll(`iframe`);for(var n in e.data[`datawrapper-height`])for(var r=0,i;i=t[r];r++)if(i.contentWindow===e.source){var a=e.data[`datawrapper-height`][n]+`px`;i.style.height=a}}})}e});For instance, with September's retail inflation standing above 5%, a 9% salary hike translates into an approximate 3.3% gain in real terms, based on the headline inflation figure.

However, the actual benefit can look quite different once taxes, deductions and individual spending patterns enter the picture.Government labour data paints a more uneven picture.According to the ministry of statistics and programme implementation's (MoSPI) latest Periodic Labour Force Survey for 2025, average monthly earnings of regular salaried men increased by 5.8%, from Rs 22,891 to Rs 24,217.

For women, the increase was 7.2%, from Rs 17,126 to Rs 18,353. Self-employed men recorded a wage increase of around 6%.For casual workers, however, the numbers offer little reason to celebrate. Average daily wages for male casual labourers remained virtually unchanged at Rs 455, compared with Rs 456 earlier.When salaries stay the same but grocery bills, travel costs and other expenses keep rising, making it through the month itself can become a challenge.Gadia said that the gap between income growth and the cost of living was particularly difficult for households with large fixed commitments.

Even when salaries increased, rising EMIs, insurance premiums and other recurring payments could leave families with little additional disposable income.Food prices take a bigger biteThe biggest source of pressure is increasingly visible in grocery bills. Retail inflation climbed to 5.54% in September this year, its highest level under the new Consumer Price Index (CPI) series.This was also the fourth consecutive month that inflation remained above the RBI's 4% target.Food inflation rose sharply to 7.74% in September from 5.97% in August.

Some everyday kitchen essentials became considerably more expensive, with onion prices increasing 108% year on year, ginger becoming 63% costlier and garlic prices rising 55%.The pressure has been particularly pronounced in rural India.Rural inflation stood at 6.08%, compared with 4.88% in urban areas, while rural food inflation reached 8.06%.(function{function e{window.addEventListener(`message`,function(e){if(e.data[`datawrapper-height`]!==void 0){var t=document.querySelectorAll(`iframe`);for(var n in e.data[`datawrapper-height`])for(var r=0,i;i=t[r];r++)if(i.contentWindow===e.source){var a=e.data[`datawrapper-height`][n]+`px`;i.style.height=a}}})}e});The weather has added to the challenge.The India Meteorological Department reported that the 2026 monsoon ended at 87% of the long-period average, its weakest performance since 2015.

The possibility of El Niño conditions peaking in November has also added uncertainty to the agricultural outlook.The government's foodgrain production target for 2026-27 stands at 373.93 million tonnes, lower than the 376.56 million tonnes recorded in the previous year.For households, …

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